I don’t think so. Due to this, most countries have opted against upgrading the Tranche 1’s (Spain being the exception). This means that UK and German legacy EW training via Tornado plus the Australians would add up to an EW coalition being trained in the evolving and developing 21st century approach to EW. In January, a total of 275 tornadoes were reported, with 285 being confirmed. Instead, it’s badly *managed*. The German Tornado-fleet form part of NATO’s nuclear sharing agreement, under which Belgium, Germany, Italy, the Netherlands and Turkey have US tactical nuclear weapons stored in their country for delivery by their Air Forces. – I beg to differ. This is what’s created this giant hole which Russia masterfully exploited in 2008 and (even worse) in 2014. Declassified documents (¹) show the Pact believed NATO could not trust on its own members, thinking only the Americans and West Germans would show up for a fight in the event of war. In an effort to be in compliance with GDPR we are providing you with the latest documentation about how we collect, use, share and secure your information, we want to make you aware of our updated privacy policy here. The nuclear weapons aren’t exactly uncontroversial. But the RAF is buying F-35 and not only that is a major stakeholder in the program, and working F-35s with Eurofighters as an air combat dyad. Confirmed tornadoes by Enhanced Fujita rating ... broadcast, rewritten, or redistributed. And more importantly, the temporary loss of a major common threat has caused both sides to begin the pursuit of conflicting interests. A third option, which purportedly the one taken, will be to buy Super Hornets for the nuclear mission and Growlers for the EW mission. – It is probably not as expensive as has been suggested (Rhinos from the current build line are c. $80m each minus the wider package costs) and there is no need for the (likely painfully) expensive Eurofighter integration. It’s just politics within Germany. As for the German military itself – it’s actually not underfunded (a statement which I’d consider a harmful myth due to its ability to suggest all what’s needed is a bigger paycheck and everything will be sunshine and butterflies again). In this sense, the ability to combine hybrid warfare means, significant offensive strike missiles, and an ability to blend in low-yield nuclear weapons in the mix are designed to give the Russians flexibility in coercing European states. The second option would be to develop a DCA Eurofighter. There’d be little incentive for the political opposition to inveigh against its own government, powerless on the issue. Germany has officially confirmed to the United States that it would acquire 45 F / A-18 Super Hornets from Boeing to replace part of the Panavia Tornado fleet. Germany abandoning its dual-capable aircraft could even mark the beginning of the end for nuclear burden sharing in NATO. Tornadoes also develop occasionally in southern Canada during the Northern Hemisphere's summer and somewhat regularly at other times of the year across Europe, Asia, Argentina, Australia and New Zealand. Having kicked out the F-35 due to political considerations, there are three more fighters being built in the US today: the F-15 Eagle, F-16, and F/A-18E/F Super Hornet. 1 was an F0 that … German strategy makes sense for the most parts. Change ), You are commenting using your Twitter account. How to support the victims of the Mthatha (Umtata) Tornado. Tornadoes were reported in Kentucky, Arkansas and Alabama, and five million people were still under tornado watches. In reality, things are usually more complex that they seem, and outrageously stupid decisions are rarer than a quick look in the tabloids would have you believe. The Eurofighter is, at least according to Airbus, technically able to start lobbing nukes. Nuclear deterrence is back on the agenda for NATO and the United States. Heavy rains have lashed the UK and Ireland, with hurricane-strength winds and travel delays expected over a wide area. Obviously, the Luftwaffe preferred a flying aircraft to a briefing chart version of the Eurofighter. Sure, it’s a political / positioning decision. On the horizon, the SPEAR light cruise missile is about to open up some new interesting options as well. Post was not sent - check your email addresses! Having said that, even his predecessor hadn’t been enthusiastic in his response, of course owing to domestic obstacles (afterall, one of the many slogans which won Trump the presidency was the allegation that Clinton would start a war with Russia). But as Rafael Oss noted in an article published by the European Council on Foreign Relations on April 30, 2020: Without dual-capable aircraft in its arsenal Germany could still contribute to the alliance’s SNOWCAT (Support of Nuclear Operations With Conventional Air Tactics) programme by having its non-nuclear Eurofighters escort allied dual-capable aircraft. The logical solution, which has been reported to be in the work for quite some time, is a one-to-one replacement with new-built Eurofighters. Few fighter procurements go completely without a hitch these days, and the German Tornado-replacement program is no exception. Talk is cheap .. as are the Germans when it comes to defense spending/ commitment it would seem. DCA aircraft are specially configured for a nuclear mission including special radiation “hardening,” to make their electronics more resistant to the electromagnetic pulse and other radiant energies associated with a nuclear explosion. A real can of worms is what would happen if Germany would retire from the nuclear sharing altogether, as the former frontline state abandoning the politically tiring duty of hosting nukes would most likely not sit well with the current frontline states, several of whom already have varying degrees of trust issues when it comes to how strong Germany’s commitment to solidarity in case of an attack on Poland or the Baltic countries really is. Might new partnerships emerge from the Luftwaffe operating the Growler, up to and included working on Australian training ranges? And historically, Luftwaffe EW operators have trained with the US Navy at NAWDC. The primary requirement, however, was to develop a ‘state of the art’ modern aircraft able to perform low-altitude penetrating strike missions. However, while the latest F-15E(X) is a very potent strike aircraft, it does suffer from the lack of a SEAD/DEAD-variant. UK and Italy can live with it and no one cares what Spain thinks. If they were just American B-61’s happening to rest in a hangar in the German countryside, there’d be little purpose for Berlin to enter them into its own policies and constantly risk alienating its voters. The loss of Germany’s influence might even extend beyond the nuclear realm: the US, France, and the United Kingdom would be unlikely to continue consulting with Germany in the informal Quad group if it is unwilling to share either the financial or the nuclear burdens of collective defence and deterrence. Even more to the point, Germany will see an election, a new Bundestag, a new Defence Committee within the Bundestag, and the ever-challenging budget process to sort through all of this. The Project Quadriga jets are roughly corresponding to the standard offered to Finland, which also share the Tranche 4 designation. The Tornado IDS was one of the best dedicated platforms for the role during the later part of the Cold War, being known for the ability to slung a serious combat load at high speed and very low level to avoid enemy air defences. 3 tornadoes are unclassified. Change ). Germany not getting the F-35 for political reasons is just so retarded than one lacks words for it. The US didn’t commit to NATO out of altruism but to assure every conventional attack of the Soviet Union against the United States would take place far away from the American heartland. The #Eurofighter from the Boelcke Geschwader is named "Sword of Boelcke". And if we see Trump reelected this autumn, I don’t hold it completely beyond the realms of possibility that some kind of bilateral US-Polish agreement could be worked out, with or without (likely the later) the approval of the other NATO countries. Increasingly, the US has been seeing NATO as but a tool to further American interests in places like Iraq, a notion not shared by many European nations. As noted, the F-16 has seen service in Europe in the nuclear strike role, but the light multirole aircraft isn’t really the obvious place to go looking for a Tornado replacement, and in any case Lockheed Martin haven’t been interested in offering it to countries that are potential F-35 buyers. Pingback: The Black Horse(s) – Corporal Frisk, Pingback: The Big Dance that wasn’t to be – Corporal Frisk. The first boiler will be fitted to 60163 Tornado during its next overhaul, believed to be completed towards the end 2021, with the boiler arriving towards the end of 2020. BERLIN, Germany (AFP) – Germany confirmed Monday it aims to replace its aging fleet of Tornado fighter-bombers with aircraft from both European manufacturer Airbus and U.S.-based Boeing. But most importantly, there’s a reason why gravity bombs of all things survived the end of the Cold War – and that reason isn’t the INF treaty banning their deployment. ( Log Out /  The Eurofighter has already replaced the Tornado in British service, and isn’t necessarily a bad choice. Home; ... 2020. With the caveat that this is based on actually getting an inked German order before the HX decision is made, it would be a small additional credit for the two aircraft. News Germany braces for storm Sabine, transport delays. The Eurofighter consortium last year rolled out the Eurofighter ECR concept, which I discussed on the blog earlier. To begin with, it is first necessary to look at the capabilities about to be replaced. A German Air Force Tornado takes off for a training mission during Red Flag 20-2 at Nellis AFB. A very strong tornado outbreak that impacted Indiana killing 396 people. A German think tank is calling on Germany’s defense ministry to reconsider Lockheed Martin’s F-35 as a successor for the country’s Panavia Tornado fleet. Public opinion in the three other countries that contribute dual-capable aircraft to the nuclear mission – Italy, Belgium, and the Netherlands – is even less enthusiastic about nuclear deterrence than it is in Germany. This could e.g. BAE wants that Saudi Tornado replacement contract but Switzerland is a long-shot and I doubt that they will get Finland (Go Gripen!). The anti-access and area denial bit is really about defending the Kola Peninsula, the largest concentration of military force in the world as well as the always-vulnerable “European” Russian area. A car was overturned and roofs were destroyed when a tornado struck overnight in northwest Germany in the latest spate of storms in Northern Europe. – A Eurofighter order of 90 Tr. As such, while there is a clear official line – Gareth Jennings had the very nice graphic capturing it all – it is far from certain that the deal will get through parliament any time soon. Does this presage a closer working relationship between the Luftwaffe and the RAF in shaping the evolving Eurofighter fleet, up to and including participation in Tempest? Re-posting this graphic of #Germany combat aircraft programmes and procurements as I actually got one of the numbers wrong in the first one. ( Log Out /  France is not part of the integrated nuclear club within NATO, but how will the German engagement mesh with any evolving French nuclear policy? Get the Germany weather forecast. But I’m still unsure about this whole nuclear thing in NATO. The larger fleet also offers greater depth and utility as a joint ECR / IDS replacement With the USN discontinuing further buys, this is signficiant for Boeing export efforts and especially their Finnish campaign. These non-strategic weapons would be deployed by dual capable aircraft (DCA) maintained by certain NATO allies, including Germany. This was almost certainly an optimistic projection, but there remains a number of questions about the weapon to be carried at what altitude and what mission profile. Instead, their purpose lies in attacking hostile ground forces anywhere on the battlefield – and, consequently, under conditions where the enemy might not have had the time yet to set up a full-blown air defence system. This site uses Akismet to reduce spam. Until 1990, both sides profited from their NATO memberships in equal measure. Strong and destructive tornadoes form most frequently in the United States, Argentina, Brazil, Bangladesh, and Eastern India, but can occur almost anywhere under the right conditions. While still a potent airframe, the basic design is rapidly heading towards obsolescence, and the age of the aircraft are starting to show, already causing significant headaches to the maintenance personnel. On the one hand, there is the platform itself; on the other hand, there is the nuclear mission which that aircraft currently delivers for Germany. Why isn’t the F-35 under consideration, as it is used by the Netherlands for nuclear strike. The Growler buy is interesting on many levels. Credit: Luftwaffe pic.twitter.com/NETwYSxFmu, — Eurofighter Typhoon (@eurofighter) May 11, 2020. It’s also completely nonsens that a buy of around 45 F-35’s would risk the FCAS with France. Change ), You are commenting using your Google account. There a dealt with a range of options facing the United States in terms of reinforcing nuclear deterrence within Europe against the Russian nuclear and missile modernization efforts. At a minimum, the Germans would expand their options and enhance their position vis a vis the French in shaping a way ahead for 21st century air combat. How will its new nuclear capable aircraft dovetail with those other members of the nuclear club in Europe who will be flying F-35s? Cold war arms control was not driven solely by moral concerns, but also by practical considerations centring around particular weapons. But what then are the options to replace Tornado DCA with another aircraft? They form the basis of the Swiss offer to facilitate co-purchaing opportunities with Germany. Even though the defense press has announced this, the German government has not. The buildup of the Russian missile arsenal, short, medium and long range, with clear violations of INF limitations are designed less to create a so-called anti-access and area denial capability than an arsenal designed to make the recovery of classic conventional deterrence seem beyond reach in Europe. “With regard to the Growler, it is not about flying with the F-35 as far as the Growler is concerned, for the F-35 clearly does not need it; but the Growler can be and will be used in many other situations. Ever since the end of the Cold War though, the situation has been highly ambiguous – which I’m mentioning here since it plays directly into questions such as: Which combat aircraft programmes should Germany pursue? (¹) https://www.cia.gov/library/readingroom/docs/1982-08-19.pdf. Also involved, is special training for DCA pilots for the nuclear mission as well. These are specialised electronic warfare aircraft, flying the SEAD/DEAD (or more popularly the ‘Wild Weasel’) mission of taking out enemy air defences and radars. translate into acquiring just the jammers without the new ‘wet’ stations and accepting the range and endurance limitations it causes. Tornadoes in europe If you made one of these clips or are featured and want it taken down just message me on Youtube! Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in: You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. A joint Eurofighter- (55 aircraft) and Super Hornet-fleet (30 aircraft) with the Super Hornets being dual-roled conventional and nuclear strike and the Eurofighters focusing on replacing the Tornado’s interdiction and reconnaissance capabilities, and 15 EA-18G Growlers in the escort jammer/SEAD role under the luWES program does solve the most pressing military and political issues. But with the gaping holes in European defense capabilities and the with the United States working to repair the focus on the land wars, there clearly is a major gap in a credible continental conventional deterrent force. Other questions are posed by one user of the Super Hornet, namely, the RAAF. The Europeans, on the other hand, have been increasingly worried about Russia’s aggressive foreign policies – a fear which Donald Trump doesn’t seem to share. How will the German government play out its nuclear policy in the years ahead? While Germany officially calls them Tranche 3, the Eurofighter consortium refers to them as Tranche 4 to distinguish them from the earlier Tranche 3’s which are of a lesser configuration. Home; About Us; Services; Blog; Contact Us – NATO EU states will accept this as Germany honouring its defence commitments while US will be happy (France probably had no-F35 / keep with FCAS as their stipulation for supporting this) These are to be of the top-notch standard currently offered, with E-Scan AESA radar and other niceties. What does this mean for HX then? It’s also much more investment-heavy an aircraft than the latter and every buck that doesn’t go to Airbus; every synergetic effect that’s left unused; has the potential of slowing down the FCAS programme. In turn, other NATO members with more favourable views of nuclear deterrence, like Poland or Romania, might seek bilateral agreements with the US to satisfy their security needs. The general population in most of the host countries are divided at best and directly hostile at worst to the sharing agreement. This brings the key question to the Tornado replacement program of what aircraft to certify for the B61. However, what isn’t found in the arsenal of the Eurofighter is the B61 free-fall tactical nuclear weapon. Sorry, your blog cannot share posts by email. It could also continue to participate in the high-level Nuclear Planning Group and related forums in which all NATO members apart from France confer on issues associated with nuclear forces. A system produced tornadoes across Idaho and Montana. Another storm is set to hit Germany soon. This is the aircraft which the United States and a number of European allies who participate in the nuclear sharing mission will use moving forward in the decade. The only problem with that development was it prompted virtually all NATO members to transform their armies into armies of occupation, geared towards fighting insurgents rather than conventional enemies. In my recent interview with CDR Brett Stevenson, the Commander of HAVOC, we discussed the potential German acquisition of the Growler as well. Although I think the F-35 will become redundant much quicker than many expect, it’s obvious it would have a longer service life with the Germans than the F/A-18 platform could ever hope for. Sgt. Tornadoes also develop occasionally in southern Canada during the Northern Hemisphere's summer and somewhat regularly … And with SAAB’s as well as the Italian’s participation in the project, this looks more like a renovated Eurofighter coalition than anything else. This is an extremely rare capability for any air force to have, besides Germany only Italy (also with a small Tornado ECR fleet), the US Navy, and Australia sport dedicated tactical SEAD jets, both of the latter doing so in the form of the EA-18G Growler (an Israeli dedicated SEAD-variant of the F-16D is rumoured to exist, but especially after the introduction of the F-16I I am unsure what to make of this claim). The offer to Finland is based on BAE’s development track and includes UK funded or planned improvements such as Radar 2 and JNAAM version of Meteor that supports SEAD/DEAD missions. Germany has agonized over replacing the Tornado for years, and both political and industrial factors have helped sway the government’s stance on its next tranche of fighters. Featured Photo: A German air force Tornado from the Tactical Air Force Squadron 51, Schleswig Air Base, Germany, breaks away from a KC-135 Stratotanker from the 100th Air Refueling Wing, RAF Mildenhall, England, after receiving fuel over Germany, April 29, 2020. ( DCA ) maintained by certain NATO allies, including 29 violent tornadoes million people were still under Tornado.! Of being able to start lobbing nukes intended to attack such targets for decades 26,.. Different parts DCA with another aircraft how to support the victims of the weapons load outs the... 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